Something on the subject could be said by Obama who even raised a billion dollars for his electoral campaign and who could hardly declare that he was not grateful to his supporters.
The deep state
, the deep state is more simply the synthesis of the amalgam constitutionally imposed by the actors called to enforce checks an balances, whether it is the Federal Reserve, rather than the FBI, the Armed Forces of the Post Office, the CIA and diplomats from the Department of State and more. Structures called to give physiognomy and concreteness to the indications that Congress and the Presidency send, indications that often do not lack suggestions for improvement or, as it happens, critical (the story involving the Covid epidemic Antony Fauci, , and the White House, it is a plastic description).
The weight of the Mid West in the US vote
An analysis of the vote would not be complete if we did not ask ourselves, again in the context of the American Constitution, the meaning of the weight, desired, first of the framers and then, at the end of the American civil war, according to the definition known in the United States, of the weighted vote of small states which is higher than that of large states for the designation of large electors. The vote above all rewards that of the states that found an official definition in the Mid West only in the 50s.
Historians investigating the origins of the civil war, not casually defined war of secession in Europe, they now disagree on the fact that this was caused by the striking ideological conflict caused by slavery, which instead is considered as a catalyst for the declaration of secession - driven by the unusual request made by southern white nationalism ("White Southerners") for a " right "to export slavery; at the same time, the rejection of the slavery practice for the preservation of national unity in the shadow of constitutional principles is no longer attributed to the northern states. (3)
It was Henry Wilson, vice president of Ulysses Grant (4) who initiated the ethical interpretation of the war fought to preserve national unity against the violence of the slave power.
The historiographical revisionism led by James Garfield Randall and Avery Craven (5) argued that the living conditions of slave laborers were not significantly worse than those of the Northern labor and wage labor force and that slavery was naturally on the road to extinction. and, as the Italian historian Raimondo Luraghi insisted, it was a clash between two nations clearly separated by a cultural history and a lifestyle typical of two distinct nations. Today modern historiography attributes to the economic crisis of 1857 the additional reason for the civil war, between the North, which in the middle of the industrial revolution, demanded protectionist policies within the single confederal market and the liberal and trading policy of the agricultural states of the South, permeated by customs and customs that are decidedly more "British" than those of other states, already called upon to confront strong migratory movements.
The intermediate states, in some cases the territories not yet states, between the south and the north, became fundamental in the war and in the post-war period.
When the governorate of North Carolina in December 1860 declared its separation from the Confederation, the majority of the country, of German origin, naturally also a majority of the armed forces of that state, refused to accept the decision of the political power and declared allegiance to 'Union. Under the command of Major Robert Anderson, a former slaver officer from Kentucky, the armories were emptied and control of Fort Sumter, at the entrance to Charleston Bay, was controlled by maritime entrances and exits. (6)
Since then, the heart of the power developed between the great lakes and the western plains, between the Appalachian mountains and the Mississippi valley, which was born dreaming of the realization of the myth of city on the hill, characteristic of the missionary exceptionalism of American expansionism. Here a dominant cultural model emerged that overcame the neo-English individualism and around an ethnic majority of German origin was able to amalgamate a first national ethnicity, settled and not in eternal movement, aggregating other ethnic groups that remained minorities. The compromise on the electoral system reached in 1868 with the XII, XIII and XIV amendments, which set new numbers to organize the House of Representatives and the college of electors, rewarded the Midwest, also for the constitutionalization of the vote of the so-called three fifths, or the calculation of the votes of African Americans whose number was calculated with a weight of three fifths of the number of declared, remaining clear that they did not have the right to vote.
This is not the time to talk about the fascinating history of "Germany in America", which still today represents with its hundred million members the most prosperous ethnic community of the American nation. In this regard, the aforementioned Diego Fabbri and the Limes magazine have spent much time. (7)
Having understood how Ohio has become the symbolic state of the American vote, normally those who lose in Ohio lose in the country, it remains now to understand what will happen after the next elections.
For Europe, the Trump presidency has meant a bad storm, because Trump has not "limited" himself to managing American interests like his (politely hypocritical) predecessors, but because he has not hesitated to wink at clearly illiberal political forces and countries members of the Union openly "deviant" from the European project.
"Potus" did not spare the mockery of the main European leaders, as Chancellor Merkel was able to prove, showing coldness towards NATO and condescension to Turkey and Russia.
In reality, Trump has shown that he is not classifiable. If re-elected he could further pick up the EU, press on the accelerator of isolationism, protectionism; however, it could do exactly the opposite and dedicate to Europe the same post-blackmail “deal” system that it reserved for North Korea, as for China.
With Biden, the declared attempt to weaken Berlin first and then Brussels with all the consequences of the case would probably lose strength. Interesting glimmers would probably open up on Iran, NATO and the differences on climate would decrease. It would change the style and the much mocked multilateralism would get its breath back. But the concept behind a superpower in internal crisis but very solid in power will hardly change: America first and China, together with all the other suitors, second; even neo-protectionism could, as it did in Obama's time, remain in force.
Perhaps we will think about re-constituting a coalition of the great democracies of the world but it is probable, as already happened with Clinton and Obama, that Biden, kindly, will take care not to support the European and specifically Italian and French interest in the Mediterranean.
These elections, on the other hand, will provoke a new identity for the States in the United States and cascading around the world, different if (constitutional) originalism will win according to the interpretation of republican radicalism interpreted by Trump's nationalism or the readjustment, made mandatory by the transformation of ethnic settlements in USA, of the rules that have governed the system for over two centuries. (8)
Trump has shown that what is not written (politically correct behavior) does not exist, and that what is written, if it does not result in sanctions, can be mocked. By announcing that together with his lawyers he is already preparing to contest a possible defeat not supported by large numbers for the victory of his opponent, he announced that new times will have to be lived by the Republic which wanted to be liberal and undemocratic. And the whole world is watching carefully the new "democratic authoritarianism" that could be born. In a world where most countries already don't know what representative democracy is.
From tomorrow and for eleven weeks we will be in bated breath and we will talk about the White House again.
Below is the interview with the author of the article Giuseppe Scanni - from "New National Journal" (Ed)
TO KNOW MORE
Dario fabbri, Limes, April 2015
B. Wilson, George III, as man, monarch, and statsman. London 1907
Elisabeth R. Varon, Bruce Levine, Marc Egnal, Michael Halt, speeches in the "Highlights from the 2011 Annual meeting of the Organization of American Historians in Houston, Texas" (online)
Henry Wilson, History of The Rise and Fall of the Slave Power in America, Library of Congress
Craven, The Coming of the Civil War, Library of Congress (online)
Adam Goodheart, 1861: The Civil War Awakening (2011) ch. 2
Fabbri et al., Limes December 2018
Giuseppe Mammarella, Where America goes, the Mill, Bologna
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