Overtaking is there. Or rather, "it is not unrealistic", in the formula that pollsters have learned to use because, when it comes to a few decimals, it is good to rely on an extra conditional. On the macro trend, everyone agrees: the Democratic Party sewed up the margin with the 5 Star Movement, so much so that on Monday for the first time in over a year, Swg, in the poll for Tg La7, positioned the dem (21,1 percent ) above the grill (21).
Antonio Noto di Ipr: "The primary effect brought 2-3 points to the Democratic Party" ». However, this would not be a transfer of votes from the Grillo movement to the Democratic Party, but a "thawing of abstention" (Pregliasco di Youtrend) [Giarelli, Fatto].