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Friday 18 June 2021

Recommended The government crisis that nobody wants

The government crisis that nobody wants

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Many threaten the government crisis, but no one really wants it. The Prime Minister Conte does not want it, whose time would end, the overwhelming majority of parliamentarians in office who would not be re-elected, does not want it, the 5Stelle movement, which is on the verge of a disruptive crisis, does not want it, the secretary of the PD Zingaretti despite saying the opposite because it would say goodbye to the government, the League does not want it left bruised after Salvini's indictment, least of all Berlusconi would like it considering that Forza Italia is about to disappear, perhaps Brothers would not mind of Italy with Meloni riding a positive wave. And what about Italia Viva? Renzi is probably the one who fears her least, because he has more cards to play as a free hitter and because he hopes in his heart that in any case he will not go to early elections.

Here is the point: short-term elections or continuation of the legislature, if not until the natural expiration at least for another abundant year to try to restore a situation that is running water on all sides.

If there is no crisis, the future of the current government is destined in any case to a troubled life; the mess of justice is the clear manifestation of one's inability to face problems and solve them in practice.  

The pinning on the prescription of Minister Bonafede, with the endorsement of President Conte and the agreement of the Democratic Party to postpone the problem pending a reform of the criminal trial that no one can imagine when it will happen and how it will be, represents a triggered mine that can explode at any moment. The removal of that obstacle constitutes a widely awaited signal not only from the world of lawyers, but also from the sectors of the judiciary that respect the Constitution. If that signal does not arrive, they will soon have to pack up in Palazzo Chigi and its surroundings.

The Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte

In the event of a crisis, the decision passes to the President of the Republic. Despite the rumors that have been chasing each other in this sense for weeks, President Mattarella, faced with the decisive question: whether to proceed with the dissolution of the Chambers, with the consequent return to the polls, or to seek a different solution, will have much to consider.

Italy is going through one of the most delicate phases of its democratic life, both in the economic-social and in the more properly political fields.

The economy is stagnant, the international trend, a determining factor for the country's production and commercial system, is a harbinger of negative expectations. Internally, the unresolved problems, from Italy to Ilva and to the other dozens of corporate crises, do not allow a vacuum of power and the postponement until the final outcome of bankruptcy.

In the political field, an underground movement of forces is taking place for a recomposition of the general framework that requires not immediate realization times. Both in the parts of the government and in those of the opposition, a phase is underway that presumably will lead to more than one breakdown (from 5Stelle to Forza Italia, from fringes of the PD to others of the League) that will be able to give life to other and different aggregations. 

Equally, the problems would increase in the economic field, right now that international tensions on interest rates are hinting to decrease (the spread has dropped and the placement of government bonds is less burdensome, with positive repercussions for public debt). The opening of a new political unknown would be deleterious, even more so when there is a need to resume a constructive discourse with the European Union also at the opening of a new cycle of government

In the presence of this overall picture, the launch of an exasperated electoral campaign with no decisive outlets would represent a leap in the dark.

We can trust that a man with refined training and long political experience will be able to indicate the appropriate solution to a situation as complicated and difficult as the one that Italy is going through, putting all the political parties before their responsibilities towards the Italians, perhaps hoping that, for a while, they will be able to lay down their arms and all try to make a contribution to overcome the crisis.

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